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Economy

Initial Claims Fell to 203,000 and Continuing Claims Dropped to 1.78 Million, a Day Before the Payroll Benchmark Revision

The insured unemployment rate stayed at 1.2% in Labor Department data released Thursday. The figures measure people losing jobs, not people finding them, and Friday brings a much larger revision to the payroll record.
Illustrative photograph: people working in a business setting.

Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to a seasonally adjusted 203,000 in the week ended Aug. 22, down 4,000 from the prior week, according to the weekly claims report published Thursday, Aug. 27 by the Labor Department's Employment and Training Administration.

The prior week was revised up by 1,000, to 207,000 from 206,000 as first reported. The four-week moving average, which smooths the series' considerable week-to-week noise, rose 1,250 to 205,500.

That combination — a headline that ticks down while the smoothed trend inches up — is what this week's release shows. Neither move is large by the standards of a series that routinely swings by more, and both levels sit far below those that have historically accompanied broad layoffs.

The continuing-claims side

Continuing claims, which count people still drawing benefits and lag the headline by a week, fell to 1,778,000 in the week ended Aug. 15, down 18,000 from a downwardly revised 1,796,000; that prior week was first reported as 1,799,000. The four-week moving average of continuing claims edged up 250 to 1,788,500.

The insured unemployment rate held at 1.2%, unchanged from the prior week. That rate covers only workers eligible for and receiving state benefits, which is a much narrower population than the household survey's measure of unemployment.

Before seasonal adjustment, states reported 169,786 initial claims in the week ended Aug. 22. The state-by-state detail in the report runs a week behind that: for the week ended Aug. 15, the largest decreases were in Michigan, down 2,446, where the state attributed the drop to fewer layoffs in manufacturing; California, down 1,432; South Carolina, down 1,136; Pennsylvania, down 1,077, which cited fewer layoffs in health care and social assistance, in transportation and warehousing, and in administrative and support and waste management services; and Kansas, down 990. The largest increase was in Kentucky, up 518.

What claims do not measure

The claims data track separations. They say nothing directly about hiring, and that distinction has mattered all year. In the July Employment Situation, published Aug. 7 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 23,000 while the unemployment rate held at 4.1% with 6.9 million people counted as unemployed.

That same release revised the two preceding months lower: May was cut by 66,000, to a gain of 63,000 from 129,000, and June was cut by 37,000, to a gain of 20,000 from 57,000. Average hourly earnings for private workers rose 2 cents to $37.62, up 3.2% over the year, and 25.5% of the unemployed had been out of work 27 weeks or longer.

A labor market can produce very few new claims and very few new jobs at the same time. That is roughly the configuration the data have been describing.

Friday's larger number

The claims report is the last national labor release before a considerably heavier one. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its July Employment Situation release that it will publish the preliminary estimate of the upcoming annual benchmark revision to establishment survey data on Friday, Aug. 28, at 10 a.m. ET.

That exercise re-anchors the payroll survey to unemployment insurance tax records covering nearly all employers, rather than the monthly sample. Its scale can be substantial: the completed 2025 benchmark, published in February 2026, lowered total nonfarm employment for March 2025 by 898,000, or 0.6%, to 158,377,000, according to the bureau's benchmark documentation.

The next monthly Employment Situation report is scheduled for Sept. 4 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

US equity markets were open at the time of writing on Thursday morning, and no closing levels for the session were available.

This article is for general information only and is not investment advice. Figures are as reported by the cited sources at time of writing.

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